See what could really happen at the casino.
- I don't sell “winning” systems.
- I don't push casinos.
Bring a full system or just the way you like to play. I run it through 100,000 bots so you can see what is actually possible: how often it wins, by how much, and what the ride is like.
What 10 million simulated hands reveal about craps.
The data-driven guide every player should read before the next roll.
- Why half of all shooters never make it past 6 rolls
- Less than 40% of shooters make even one point
- Which numbers actually appear, and how often across 10M hands
- Why surviving longer doesn't automatically mean profiting
13-page PDF · Delivered by email.
Much better than just tossing dice and playing a strategy to see how well it does.
Same system. 100,000 different outcomes.
Why simulation.
The math on any way of playing stops at a house edge and an expected value. Both true, neither says what a night can actually win, what it can actually lose, or what the ride in between feels like. A simulation does: it plays the thing out, 100,000 times.
Averages across millions of rolls. No single night ever lands on them.
- What can a good night actually pay?
- How deep can a bad one dig?
- What do the swings in between feel like?
The full distribution.
Any single session could have gone another way. The report lines up all 100,000: the typical night, the best one, the worst bust, and how often each actually shows up.
The most likely outcomes.
Expected value is an average no single player ever actually banks. The report shows where sessions really land: how often the system wins, by how much, and what the ride is like.
Every roll
A bot sits through the whole session one roll at a time. No skipping ahead, no cherry-picked hot streaks.
Every bet
It places the bets like a player would: press on cue, regress on cue, hedge exactly when the rules say hedge.
Every stop rule
Win goal, loss limit, session clock. When the system says walk, the bot walks.
Every system has a catch. Across 100,000 nights, it has nowhere to hide.
TrueScore™
One number can't describe a system. Ten can.
Two systems with the same win rate can play nothing alike: one grinds out steady nights, the other swings wild and gives the profit back. TrueScore rates the play across ten dimensions, so how a system actually behaves, good and bad, is on the card before the first buy-in.
Returns
What the wins return
What percentage of total wagers does the casino keep?
Better than most casino games.
How often did the bots stay ahead after getting there?
Keeps gains just under half the time.
How many losing sessions do the best sessions cover?
Best nights cover only a couple of losing ones.
Experience
What the play feels like
How much total action did the bots get from their outlay?
A lot of table time for the outlay.
What percentage of individual hands ended with a profit?
More hands won than most systems manage.
How many distinct bet types and levels does the strategy use?
A few bet types and levels to track.
Risk
Where the risk hides
How much worse than typical are the worst sessions?
Worst nights stay close to typical.
How much did bankrolls swing relative to bet size?
Steady, predictable swings.
How well did the win rate hold up after 20 casino visits?
The win rate mostly survives 20 visits.
The four personas
Four players. Four verdicts.
A comp grinder and a jackpot hunter should never touch the same system. Every report rates each system for all four players. Find yours, then start with the systems built for it.
Paycheck Player
Steady wins
Frequent small wins; cashes out at a modest target.
Table Tourist
Action & fun
A simple, affordable play with a real shot at a nice win.
Comp Grinder
Time & comps
Long, low-edge play that racks up table time and comps.
Jackpot Hunter
The big score
Chases one huge win, accepting a steep edge and losses.
Bankroll Needed
What's the right buy-in?
Every report answers with two numbers, measured from what the bots actually had to pull out of pocket. A bet paid for by an earlier win costs nothing, so this is the real cost of a seat, not the total wagered.
Usually Sufficient: 3 of every 4 bots never needed more. Nearly Always Sufficient: 19 of 20 never did.
Long Term
One night is luck. 500 visits is the truth.
A system can be tuned to win night one; quit-while-ahead rules do it on purpose. Long Term is the honest test: the bots take the same system back up to 500 visits, and the chart tracks how many are still ahead. That slope is the house edge doing its work.
The full curve, visit by visit, is on every report's Long Term tab.
Comps
The rating you never see.
Casinos don't rate a player on what they lose. They rate on theo, the loss the house expects: average bet, times hours, times decisions per hour, times house edge. Comps are a cut of that number. The report computes the real thing from every bet the bots placed, then checks it against what the pit would guess.
Craps is where the guess goes wrong: multi-roll bets, bets that follow the puck, prop bets the rating can't see. Some systems earn less than they should. Some earn more. The full model is on every report's Comps tab; members can tune every input.
Try the free Comp CalculatorTake a bot for a Test Drive.
The dice are yours. Throw whatever you want at a system from the Vault and see how the bot takes it: what it bets next, what it has to say, where its stop rules kick in. Hand it a hot streak. Force a cold table. The fastest way to learn a system before a dollar rides on it.
Test Drive is bot number one. The report is what happens when 100,000 play the same rules on their own.
Every experiment on one board.
Explore is the power tool behind the vault: every variant ranked side by side, sortable by persona fit, win profile, and setup. Find the systems that fit how you actually play, then open the full report.
Free to browse, no account needed: every system and its ratings. Members see every number: the dollar columns for the typical night and the best night, plus the full filter suite.
Start here
Skip the tour.
Most visits come down to one of four questions. Go straight to yours.
Here for a strategy?
Every system I've tested is written up in full: the win rate, the ceiling, the catch. Free to read, all graded the same way.
Browse the Vault →Came from a video?
Every system from the channel is in the vault with the full run behind it. Find it, then run it with your own bankroll from $30.
Have a system to test?
Send me the logic. I build it in my engine, run it through 100,000 bots, and send back the truth.
Start my simulation →Prepping a trip?
Half of all shooters never make it past 6 rolls. The free Shooter's Edge guide shows what that means for a bankroll.
Get the Free Guide →The best craps site on the Internet. It's all about the math as opposed to anecdotal comments.
Everything above, unlocked.
One membership opens every members-only system and variant behind the door, plus the Explore dollar columns, unlimited Test Drive, and every PDF.
$10 a month · Instant access · Cancel anytime
Merch
Wear the data.
Shirts, hoodies, mugs, and stickers built from the same designs that show up on the channel, including the Made 'Em All collection for anyone who's hit the ATS. Items start at $6.
